Learn · Cross-World · 6 min

The New Scoreboard

The math can say yes while the habit you've built for forty years keeps saying no.

You spent 30 or 40 years learning that a bigger balance meant you were doing something right. Retirement asks you to use the money, but the old scoreboard does not disappear.

You retire with $2.5 million. A few months later, you take the $15,000 trip to Italy you've talked about for years. You come home, check the account, and between the trip and a rough stretch in the market, the balance is down $22,000.

Fig. 01The first few monthsWhat the screen says after the trip
$2,500,000At retirement
$15,000The trip to Italythe one you've talked about for years
$22,000 lowerThe balance when you get homethe trip, and a rough stretch in the market

The scenario in the text. Hypothetical.

What do you feel? Probably not, 'That was exactly what the money was there for.' You see the lower number. For most of your life, a lower number meant you were moving in the wrong direction, and forty years of that training doesn't disappear because you had a retirement party.

That's one of the harder transitions in retirement. You can have enough money. You can have a plan that says the spending is reasonable. And you can still feel like you're doing something wrong every time money leaves the account.

The old scoreboard worked

While you're working, the rules are pretty simple. You earn money, save some of it, invest it and try to leave it alone. Your balance gives you an easy way to tell whether you're making progress. If it grows over time, that's generally a good thing.

That habit can become part of your identity. You're the person who plans ahead, doesn't waste money and thinks before making a big purchase. You kept contributing when the market was ugly. You passed on things you could have bought because the future mattered more. Those behaviors helped build the retirement you have now.

The problem isn't that those habits were wrong. They worked.

The problem isn't that those habits were wrong. They worked. The problem is that retirement gives the money a different job while your brain keeps using the same measure of success.

Then the job of the money changes

Once the paycheck stops, some of the money you've spent decades protecting is supposed to come back out. Maybe it replaces part of your paycheck. Maybe it pays for travel, helps your kids, buys the lake house or simply lets you live a little better than you did while you were saving.

But every withdrawal still lowers the number on the screen. You can know intellectually that the trip was planned for and still feel a little sick when you see the balance afterward. You can know that helping your daughter with a down payment fits comfortably inside the plan and still wonder whether you should have kept the money 'just in case.'

The math can say yes while the habit you've built for forty years keeps saying no.

That's why having enough money and feeling comfortable using it are two different things. The math can say yes while the habit you've built for forty years keeps saying no.

A plan can work and still be hard to use

Say your retirement plan shows that you can comfortably spend $120,000 a year. That number can be backed by real work: Social Security, pensions, investment withdrawals, taxes, future large expenses and what you want to leave behind. On paper, the spending works.

But if you still judge every year by whether your investment balance ended higher than it started, $120,000 is going to be hard to spend. A down market may make it even harder. So will a new car, a big family trip or a check to help one of your kids. Each one can feel like another hit to the score you're still watching.

Over time, that can create a strange retirement. You did the hard part. You accumulated the money. The plan says you can use it. But you keep postponing things because spending still feels less responsible than saving.

So what should the new scoreboard be?

I don't think the answer is that your balance stops mattering. Of course it matters. We need to know whether the investments can continue doing the jobs they've been assigned.

It just isn't the outcome anymore.

Fig. 02Two ways to keep scoreThe old scoreboard, and the new one

The old scoreboard

  • Did the balance end the year higher than it started?
  • Did money leave the account?
  • Is the number on the screen lower than it was?

The new scoreboard

  • Are you doing what the plan says you can do with the money?
  • Did the trip you said mattered happen?
  • Did you help the people you wanted to help while you're here to see it?
  • Is the money that needs to support you later still positioned to do that job?

The balance still matters. It tells you whether the plan can keep doing its job. It just isn't the job.

A better question is whether you're doing what the plan says you can do with the money. If taking the family to Italy was important to you and the plan says it works, taking the trip is not a financial failure because the account balance is lower afterward. If helping your kids while you're alive to see the impact matters more than leaving them a larger inheritance later, the check can be part of a successful plan too.

The same goes the other direction. Maybe leaving $1 million to your children is deeply important to you. Maybe having a large reserve helps you sleep at night. Those aren't mistakes just because they leave more money in the account. The goal isn't to make the balance go down. The goal is to know what the money is for and use it accordingly.

The number on the screen cannot answer that for you

An account balance can tell you what you have today. It cannot tell you how much you can spend this year, whether the trip affects the legacy you want to leave, which account the money should come from, what taxes the withdrawal creates or what happens if the market falls next year.

If the only thing making you feel safe is seeing the balance stay high, there may never be a number that gives you permission to use it.

That's why simply having a bigger number doesn't always make the fear go away. There is always another bad market you can imagine, another health expense, another reason to wait one more year. If the only thing making you feel safe is seeing the balance stay high, there may never be a number that gives you permission to use it.

A plan is supposed to do more than tell you that you probably won't run out. It should help you understand what you can actually do, what would cause that answer to change and what does not need to scare you every time the market or the balance moves.

Try a different way to keep score

Look back at the last twelve months. Don't start with what your portfolio returned. Start with what the money was supposed to do.

WorksheetThe last twelve monthsDon't start with what your portfolio returned. Start with what the money was supposed to do.
  • Did you live the way you wanted to live?
  • Did you take the trip you said mattered?
  • Did you help the people you wanted to help?
  • Did you spend comfortably without putting the rest of the plan at risk?
  • Did the money that needs to support you later stay positioned to do that job?

Those questions are harder than checking an account balance, because they require an actual plan. But they're also much closer to what retirement is supposed to accomplish.

Retirement needs a different measure

For 30 or 40 years, watching your balance was a useful way to tell whether you were making progress. Retirement needs a different measure.

If the plan says you can take the family to Italy, you should be able to take them to Italy. If you decided you want to help your kids while you're here to see it, the plan should show you what that decision actually does. If leaving $1 million to your children matters to you, that belongs in the plan too.

Your account balance still matters because it tells us whether the plan can keep doing its job. It just isn't the job.

The job is your life.

· The Heard First Session

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